{"id": 4844, "prediction_verbatim": "No testable directional market prediction without retail sales feed", "created_at": "2026-05-11 07:36:11", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A \u2014 ABSTAIN", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction explicitly abstained from making a directional market call ('ABSTAIN, timeframe: N/A'). The thesis identified consumer pressure narratives but made no testable claim about asset price direction. Current market data shows mixed signals (small moves across equities/crypto, -0.2% to +3.9% ranges) but cannot validate or invalidate an abstained prediction. Scoring as indeterminate per protocol.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 09:32:27", "chain_hash": "bbaeee5fbff9e95ffef8ab7e7fab0ba7c6ea35c197b5f3ab6f379d78119e2c0a", "chain_tx": "2NHBb7vWpQEp53rbt5PzDDinxT3WhnMmBUhAKUt1ZCKHvEFp7cfTP1rJVEmghiu59zqCmcmx97rESrSHkRotW6dy", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}