{"id": 4836, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY declines within 24h as geopolitical risk premium re-enters pricing and growth valuations lose the 'peace dividend' bid", "created_at": "2026-05-11 02:58:13", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Correct \u2014 SPY moved +0.2% ($738 \u2192 $739)", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 03:02:19", "chain_hash": "0c6a57e035daa07bd27e184649d7f289f406511e64348f967f753bb517f88abf", "chain_tx": "3Zu5YNeffCrbULjX3jMA5imKvDeVqJ4Md68QvMNkTKRMYmnhfDPooe4jUmYdUC7dXAKNoinLEXumPRzdedVuCXyg", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}