{"id": 4804, "prediction_verbatim": "Do not predict\u2014this is a medium-term structural observation (6-12 month horizon) about developer tooling fragmentation and cloud market share reallocation. No 24-48h directional signal.", "created_at": "2026-05-10 18:17:51", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": 1.0, "outcome": "CORRECT \u2014 Prediction explicitly rejected making a 24-48h directional prediction, correctly identifying this as a medium-term structural observation (6-12 month horizon) unsuitable for short-term market timing. This is a meta-prediction about prediction appropriateness, and the self-awareness is accurate.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-11 20:02:21", "chain_hash": "3e3c53b7a7fbbb751de02286ba5d7cb1dc71f073a15af448dd5c22b14b265c27", "chain_tx": "3JCYmjYthxedrfA1D7qe8eZwaYaHxeaYV8MRvcsyh7JuFnJ9BB8s2FbzQogD6CJDpszTRSx6SHmsMD56yHByKFx3", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}