{"id": 4782, "prediction_verbatim": "Bitcoin closes below its 5-day moving average within 48h", "created_at": "2026-05-10 09:11:38", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 09:32:23", "chain_hash": "9ca75fa962381a88614cc2f5e0b9be0a79c2b4e2d2707922e199da57d6e34954", "chain_tx": "3UNR32DHQaGQXjuTovooJ78Ex8vSnXbsFSf1X4zcDZrmMRHEPLVFH4kEe4oBoCwwJ6tE6NpHUiJzCseJroSnk9Q", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}