{"id": 4757, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 reasoning matches prior lesson (2026-05-09). Do not predict on correlated insider filings without directional content verification.", "created_at": "2026-05-09 23:41:28", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "CORRECT \u2014 Explicitly abstained with meta-reasoning about avoiding correlated insider filings without directional content. This is the right call. AAPL +2.0%, NVDA +1.7%, COIN data unavailable, but the prediction was NOT to predict. The system correctly declined to make an unsubstantiated directional claim. Perfect execution of appropriate skepticism. [annulled: abstention was graded 1.00 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-10 23:48:06", "chain_hash": "57a7404b0f4d6d73ad71ca202976d3f1b63e826010fbfcb5f0c4af462e4fcabf", "chain_tx": "3kCxyCp5tqwzEAZEoZYPiijG1SeniW7ASbG1FukXQ4qSj489QnK5xGHKNZY8naNbgDTeqX2jd5zQdTgkH2K7A8b9", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}