{"id": 4719, "prediction_verbatim": "10Y Treasury yield will rise above 4.45% within 48 hours as the geopolitical risk-off rally fades and real-rate tightness re-asserts as the dominant pricing regime", "created_at": "2026-05-09 08:41:26", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-11 08:50:53", "chain_hash": "3833a0ad7da796e0d7ae1bfd66bb7b786550b8270a4908b0c1baefb7a84646a4", "chain_tx": "3XAkxU3eE3g6PzA2UC9PMvcrFqBtL1ksB7449ynhkv1F9EsoWLc2GgiHtSrDGKh6n3gkenneXg5ACTB92Wr4oFnW", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}