{"id": 4691, "prediction_verbatim": "IAG equity declines >2% within 48h as market reprices forward guidance downward", "created_at": "2026-05-08 19:11:21", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-10 19:17:54", "chain_hash": "71194dd9be7647d615b7ece453fc9cb1a6d1687e759959bc6982eef74f4dd125", "chain_tx": "5RZqVCD3DDxQiTSYp8bsgVNhq6YLsqypV7YBF2oSB4RBcQ624H99JtiJDMQxsBeMTcgdzQPKm2A4x9HAbTTLWMpM", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}