{"id": 4583, "prediction_verbatim": "SOL outperforms BTC by >2% in 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-06 20:40:38", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 WRONG \u2014 Prediction required SOL to outperform BTC by >2% in 24h. Actual 24h changes: BTC -2.2%, SOL -1.8%. SOL underperformed BTC by 0.4% (opposite direction). The 'AI machine economy' narrative and Google agent convergence thesis failed to materialize in market action.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-07 22:11:22", "chain_hash": "5f92eb44e7b780123d941ccd7e014046b25ba5cea643c5055723f500bb5a3985", "chain_tx": "5N4fSrrgNnvUWu3rDp2rvoqsqeMFMksec6CSSDRbWJo6EGBQCaPYrsgZ6tTtHy87DJgrPbEKHipNoBKMkeuXks1f", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}