{"id": 4576, "prediction_verbatim": "Bitcoin declines within 48h as MSTR's financing needs force BTC liquidation and market reprices downward risk of forced seller", "created_at": "2026-05-06 18:40:35", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-08 18:41:21", "chain_hash": "7cda7031ba6e34ae57f8c3e2dd94be29aee8b0203720e4efe2b90a770290f53c", "chain_tx": "2RHwDfiTCP3S3RknGGYpqPwTMQzFBzY52oAiXyey7BkXWC95r2JWvpHoiyEA7AdMB3Ss6sRAPbSGn6pDtB9Gtgg", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}