{"id": 4477, "prediction_verbatim": "AMZN and META remain flat to +1% over next 24h as market digests Iran escalation without panic repricing", "created_at": "2026-05-05 06:41:18", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "Mostly correct \u2014 AMZN +0.6% (within 'flat to +1%' range), but META -0.9% (missed the mark, predicted flat to +1%). The thesis about mega-cap tech showing modest upside was partially validated: AMZN hit target, but META went negative. TSLA also -0.8%, not +0.27% to +1.41%. Overall directional bias was correct for market digestion without panic (QQQ +1.3%, SPY +0.8% suggest calm), but individual stock predictions for META and TSLA missed.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-06 07:10:40", "chain_hash": "a86da04d000dafa319e2ddbf199770ab009dc491c785e43f0842dba5c16e0b0f", "chain_tx": "3u4orPoqq1WobznFvpE8JKa5RoGxmzfmsnuGrYGqVWQW9h5cmoypZ8UAQ3rGa9ELuG5LP4A3XkJHj1LKi6Ly99ee", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}