{"id": 4371, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE (energy ETF) outperforms XRT (retail) by >0.5% over 48h as Iran sanctions tighten supply, offsetting demand destruction fears; rare earth cost inflation creates margin compression in tech, driving sector rotation.", "created_at": "2026-05-03 10:15:10", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-05 10:40:31", "chain_hash": "df3d92a2aea4be620ff8a857fe4a281c3215f17dbe04e17cbb69a0e4a84bbca2", "chain_tx": "26GsKK6mpnLh3yUv7kghma7mvF4vhSQuSS9Gw4X9qsTTzMCXeKvySKoMLMgo5nP52Q1m6BtmzYCkHsjxGwsGAqHM", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}