{"id": 4313, "prediction_verbatim": "10Y Treasury yield moves higher (above 4.45%) within 48h as market reprices duration risk ahead of Fed communications", "created_at": "2026-05-02 03:45:39", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-04 04:15:42", "chain_hash": "8496adb79539e5cc1babd4eab5a57dba5a2ddff7cafc32d0200894df143c2a30", "chain_tx": "4Wt9GjVNNvvUniHikBRfSTSic1amdWTUASJreg9bFViVDjkNXCkvjEH16hp2vDe5stP1XcHvo2M17cV2LrPMzxk", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}