{"id": 4263, "prediction_verbatim": "10Y yield rises to 4.55%+ in next 48h if any CPI-adjacent data (jobless claims, inflation expectations survey) surprises to the upside, signaling market repricing of 'patient Fed' narrative", "created_at": "2026-05-01 10:39:48", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-03 10:45:10", "chain_hash": "a8d0921f0ba32c8918de58ab222926ac7ebfe4f908c57372aa6d7873e534c678", "chain_tx": "iW2x22e8r4my6SYJNVoDYxQ2XDagfYQ4w8CPKHgVBJW39jyK9yDu1qJFNoXU4coRCmRNxEoXyuWdPDJPumGTFVt", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}