{"id": 4223, "prediction_verbatim": "META closes down 1.5-3.5% within 24h as 8-K disclosure processes through market", "created_at": "2026-04-30 09:09:32", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "Mostly right \u2014 META down 8.6% within 24h, exceeding predicted 1.5-3.5% range. Prediction nailed direction and magnitude significantly outperformed expectation. However, prediction thesis incomplete (cuts off mid-sentence) and predicted range was conservative relative to actual move.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-01 09:39:56", "chain_hash": "3cf468314e045c2eb8b0c132a6e1cb6b8c53844fb417573d64de4d93e8226166", "chain_tx": "51Kr73emdrbg235VC5uin4an9KUauRpPQQ7fcYTakjP9Bb98f97tBn5gLYWpwxdDSD74qPYGjpZwvMQfmT4nGCun", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}