{"id": 4196, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT, GOOGL, META outperform sector average (XLK) by >30bps in next 24h", "created_at": "2026-04-30 02:09:28", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong. Prediction: MSFT, GOOGL, META outperform XLK by >30bps in 24h. Actual: MSFT -3.9%, GOOGL +10.0%, META -8.6%. META and MSFT significantly underperformed, not outperformed. GOOGL's +10% gain alone cannot offset MSFT's -3.9% and META's -8.6% for a sector-average outperformance thesis. The synchronized filings thesis failed to produce predicted outperformance.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-01 03:39:53", "chain_hash": "174dcdea37fe5b640dcbd7123694e42b62840a6845fca53938f12ddf57017425", "chain_tx": "2Qvq1Q77S8SApMpCp9nWmPnkL2NSnsh4zbN5dYm82QLMERkUFfwkMc8duP48YjoMGS3TgNTRrUesgcz4bXrcLLr2", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}