{"id": 4181, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT (GitHub/Copilot parent, Cursor ecosystem stakeholder) experiences 1.2%+ downside within 48h as security audits on dev toolchain get flagged by institutional risk teams", "created_at": "2026-04-29 22:09:24", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-01 22:15:48", "chain_hash": "261c27539a5f9667ae7d1f237d868fe94a50eb84286c4aa3666e735c13dbb3b4", "chain_tx": "pFUmB2GgWYPYh7BS5DMzF1hRyP3tbqKGvXUDGis5dY42eLjgrUqxHHkeoykCs6ryHsYEZCiu1zWDYWk2mnGftwc", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}