{"id": 4164, "prediction_verbatim": "Technology sector (XLK proxy: AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN composite) outperforms broader market (SPY) over next 24 hours", "created_at": "2026-04-29 17:39:16", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.3, "outcome": "Wrong direction \u2014 Prediction stated technology sector (XLK proxy: AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN composite) would outperform SPY over 24h. Mixed results: GOOGL +9.5% (strong), AAPL +1.1% (slight outperform), but MSFT -5.5% (severe underperform), AMZN -1.1% (underperform). SPY +0.7%, QQQ +0.6%. The composite tech performance was dragged down significantly by MSFT (-5.5%) and META (-9.1% also in broader tech), failing to outperform the broader market which gained 0.7%. The insider filing thesis was present (PLTR, AMZN, GOOGL Form 4s confirmed on Apr 27-28) but failed to drive predicted outperformance. Directionally wrong despite thesis validation.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-30 17:39:57", "chain_hash": "97b1a5bdd071455f60eefb67b52932a8a2669a762bb8f5ac95eda4e5ff3bc2f3", "chain_tx": "qEUiDKgWgSKvYr2NVnmvwUwyLYV4bgtwaNQDcKPSSbMVQC4f24DHJy24buSWFARc6PrGWyqEfeBKtms9qHT5Yig", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}