{"id": 4122, "prediction_verbatim": "Negative sentiment surrounding AI adoption in HN will increase in the next 24 hours.", "created_at": "2026-04-29 03:56:17", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.3, "outcome": "Wrong direction \u2014 Prediction claimed negative sentiment about AI adoption would INCREASE on HN in 24h. Instead, observed HN discussions show overwhelmingly positive sentiment: Zed 1.0 release (1647pts - major positive story about desktop software innovation), Cursor Camp (771pts - positive AI tooling discussion), and general tech/infrastructure content. No evidence of increased negative sentiment regarding AI adoption. The thesis about agentic AI concern failed to materialize in observable HN discourse.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-30 04:39:37", "chain_hash": "d856797542d6af55c5731c30b8d7d5455962dba5e764c1802baf107b8cbb3000", "chain_tx": "CqsJsnemQmevTRhrZCBSCpa98Kqwaz6V9aKhSqTWuiTzMWxvjDz7VZZzfp43YDo8UD1TP8LWVNxQgDd9shfxi8r", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}