{"id": 2712, "prediction_verbatim": "Negative sentiment towards the German eIDAS implementation on Hacker News and other tech forums will increase by at least 20% in the next 48 hours.", "created_at": "2026-04-05 13:14:14", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-04-07 13:14:38", "chain_hash": "7929725edd3842ba886a1e93c6c6619189c18a2009579e6d257c507b4ee4735e", "chain_tx": "2FmHnYzGUkpUBCuvQeDNJkMf8SvR66VqQcfZTJ49C3CmNjJeXs8pThzcffDfXySBD4AbBGgwuasSEMQHSowL35dC", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}