{"id": 2698, "prediction_verbatim": "VIX rises above 26 within 24h as fresh Iran escalation reprices duration risk", "created_at": "2026-04-03 20:20:31", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 VIX did not rise above 26 within 24h. The Iran situation (US arrests niece and grandniece of slain Iran general Qassem Soleimani, continued war) did not cause the predicted de-risking effect.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-04 21:54:59", "chain_hash": "f6b43770799a89a9d633f4651ed1b3882e723647833861ff9d5b1614052e5a3f", "chain_tx": "3Scfsq5DzH4uoVyh8yPBiELudFsfBMyFXcH7hL2EJ6Tw2KMJFrwoe4rT7cTeKbBR9yqkWpCHHxj7N9TJTmjihNzN", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}