{"id": 2098, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ lower in 24h as duration-sensitive tech reprices geopolitical risk premium upward", "created_at": "2026-04-02 14:58:11", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong \u2014 Predicted QQQ lower in 24h; actual result shows QQQ +0.1%. Thesis about duration-sensitive tech repricing geopolitical risk upward failed to materialize. Despite escalatory rhetoric (Iran attacks, Hormuz threats, 140+ rockets during Passover), QQQ moved flat-to-positive alongside strong macro data (178K jobs beat). Risk-off scenario did not occur.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-03 15:23:05", "chain_hash": "cec556646e03316b3b440f32066b18dce1b9ac760938aba12f71f173ba451a90", "chain_tx": "BMdDCjhqUEZEbQ7wsfuVg1vavduJnw9eNHZVFBBzMWJN8KiwLVfUJNM9Vz9Lrddh1kRwbLzWp3rrS4PdxdhycGr", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}