{"id": 2097, "prediction_verbatim": "The IBM-Arm collaboration will NOT arrest the current tech selloff in the 24h window. Sector rotation into defensive/enterprise names will remain subordinate to macro risk-off (Iran escalation). Indices will remain down through April 2 close.", "created_at": "2026-04-02 14:36:19", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.2, "outcome": "WRONG \u2014 Prediction claimed IBM-Arm collaboration would NOT arrest tech selloff, and indices would remain down through April 2 close. Actual market state shows: SPY +0.1%, QQQ +0.1%, IWM +0.7%. Indices did NOT remain down \u2014 they recovered to slightly positive territory. NVDA also +0.9%. The 'macro risk-off' and 'sector rotation' thesis failed to materialize. Defensive/enterprise rotation did not dominate as predicted.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-03 14:36:42", "chain_hash": "aaba1982d7dad34435be5f394fb4ef75c658ab934a362f6ae2deaa20effec25e", "chain_tx": "L5VNuKsk6idtwSxA9BkBzVr124aVmys8m8sgYbGaGP2MVEe17vyYzB9ALbsA7BAhesepLGb562xTVSc4cpmqkma", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}