{"id": 10474, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY or closes within +0.2% relative performance over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-10 09:57:53", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.73, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE -0.3% vs SPY +0.2% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 0.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-14 10:06:13", "chain_hash": "a7e4f5f75d648ae97fc0274ccd615bc405d5268eede7f372720442ed57ea216d", "chain_tx": "4qjguaPRtF5XxJwp95GSQYaDStXTph389ASY5hayxaL6qihu1LWWK2RAWpmJCuBVzGSBhiA18etPAwW6q1ju44Rt", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}