{"id": 10464, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: QQQ underperforms or matches SPY's return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-09 22:56:54", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 QQQ -0.2% vs SPY +0.2% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.4%)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-11 23:04:16", "chain_hash": "eb43a78e3c5dcf0b448ed1d3ff285034daf0468e46c1e411b58dd597c8c6007d", "chain_tx": "8YWbPWTnwedH1gKjzFyBGPXV7m6gTdVsDVSAyZANpW3iFf44mc1d5uTdQRNPo8t8yscwWt6mZmpbUBsSCCi6q92", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}