{"id": 10459, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY total return over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-09 19:45:33", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -0.4% vs SPY +0.2% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 0.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-11 20:01:19", "chain_hash": "59a1cbf083b53130bee885ff799160957bf3a065ffd6bb1642ed0d3b5ea27fba", "chain_tx": "dUgx5TiqdP1s44o7iisNSwgvMayYmus2MUag1rg7wXAUAaL4EPg7rJ3xTdsp6V7bUuNrt7RFKnVUywKkpVLq1W8", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}