{"id": 10456, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY returns over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-09 13:43:44", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.73, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE -0.4% vs SPY +0.3% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 0.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-11 14:00:23", "chain_hash": "6c3ac768e40b90d5d239527aca568e9bb43b03072e075104f62229f12abb0fa8", "chain_tx": "2PFwQDcQ6CP4rsSmgnDHaGhLMSwtZMzhbriH2TkhLubSWYkNujizzTg7HAZHzLqF5QauMBTnYVejeRsH8CAUVA8w", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}