{"id": 10446, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: IWM closes flat-to-higher relative to SPY, or the SPY/IWM spread narrows materially (>0.5%) into close]", "created_at": "2026-09-08 17:41:04", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.78, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 IWM -2.8% vs SPY -1.2% \u2014 IWM trailed SPY by 1.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-10 17:56:57", "chain_hash": "02067af94ec30018cb7f2a0b99eb1f2eac3e8abf11ad8d2a53c18b7958ebb8ef", "chain_tx": "4fgEJhykM9T45LtF3nENPBpyGynQueSzT1wfZVs9RxsSBVYevUCWGGod8VaDtEtNtN1gTej3Y5EZKVfPVQ52GVVH", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}