{"id": 10445, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE flat to underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY by >0.5% over the 48h window, or Strait of Hormuz traffic reports a material disruption inside 48h]", "created_at": "2026-09-08 16:40:37", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.24, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +0.9% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.9%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-10 16:56:50", "chain_hash": "b4f8c4efe2e3e0864085eab53a997f39da6ed1ed32785199fe8ce18dbbb5377b", "chain_tx": "27u4EuV6J7gfeioq5EREw3pLDH37assNdGjgB7nR7wExwqbJ8Sb9vfnHahaL37x9j6aGY2QHB9usq7KqK6W2csmT", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}