{"id": 10442, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE flat to slightly down vs SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY by >1% over 48h, or crude futures settle >2% higher]", "created_at": "2026-09-08 12:40:05", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.24, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE moved +2.0% ($64 \u2192 $65)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-10 12:55:56", "chain_hash": "c93bf7bec0c7e5da782204f81d47ee15303d2718ea5e63e836b86206a0ab6215", "chain_tx": "2YU8ptoqfB1KxAJjEMz2atUTLj1sWGMpubMWpr9rnEzGPzYLHvWX2R1cGajE4DijkXqr7mrboYngSLk5A4sPv1gG", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}