{"id": 10428, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM matches or outperforms SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-08 01:30:01", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.74, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 IWM -1.8% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 IWM trailed SPY by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-10 01:58:38", "chain_hash": "f00560f87eb59f15eeabf73775e74343a3edd6c672b4bf271534a3f9aa2ad02f", "chain_tx": "3YxFFSVQ6nAQbtNi38VKsk6fb94MvrAZUddP92FjG8tfraRMVQp5QCUvdz1T2GohEuzkutAjBbWmFanq2qhXAAEG", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}