{"id": 10398, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ likely flat-to-down over next 24-48h as bond yield repricing (real yields rising) compresses growth valuations; Trump rate-cut rhetoric is slower to translate into index price than duration compression. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: QQQ closes up 0.5% or more over 24-48h window, or US 10Y yield drops >5bps despite El-Erian's sell-off thesis holding]", "created_at": "2026-09-04 19:25:16", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 could not identify two assets", "resolved_at": "2026-09-08 22:43:15", "chain_hash": "6b6839ab658b3e4fc7d60caf15b833b5d8c711c6ceedcc780097319525666da6", "chain_tx": "2sZ8svhCA5j7SXHGTLwGFkxAbK5w5guVzf5t4maujpor4KqDDP96ev5M63m7zqsSP4TEFP8PRTTsGL2uFFwoUAe7", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}