{"id": 10396, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE vs SPY (relative): two-sided. Lean slightly BULL on XLE outperformance if supply story dominates risk-sentiment narrative. [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms SPY or closes flat relative to broad market over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-04 15:12:00", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.84, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE +1.8% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 2.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-09 15:46:35", "chain_hash": "0f28b1c55ef3cd7727df420287d7ac04ca0106ec5fe10f279b8ec3a455aee0c1", "chain_tx": "H8yFbCuKdrUcLbnaq3NfmJGwq9QJW8f66Hzmk2nJU4GDgAn4JhoCB8pagqXNEQQb3uMCQoRCZyr6to62Krq51yX", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}