{"id": 10393, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC closes higher over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: BTC closes flat or negative over the 48h window as macro headwind dominates regulatory clarity]", "created_at": "2026-09-04 12:11:00", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 bitcoin moved -1.5% ($81,177 \u2192 $79,989)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-06 12:27:31", "chain_hash": "e22e89ec8d834ba7b1abbe12d76190c2489b07e9c0eb7e893f88e1c49e80368d", "chain_tx": "3eFLxW5bAZxKCcBzbY2fkVtj27smszDMKx4BE2vr6h47pHeoU9BpvGpAvFudye1QFqRE9iN8uzmFtcte6bhMbqMp", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}