{"id": 10388, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE holds or rallies modestly (flat to +1.5%) over 24h, anchored to diesel record highs as a supply-tightness signal persisting through immediate term. [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE closes down >1.5% over 24h, signaling that diesel price records failed to sustain oil bid and that Jackdaw forward-pricing is already bleeding into spot weakness.]", "created_at": "2026-09-04 08:10:36", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.27, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE moved -0.9% ($65 \u2192 $64)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-08 08:30:42", "chain_hash": "82a370466a3886231cf5700da6db473e65654b053685d06fa88bf53c481e7e04", "chain_tx": "34gXugFoGrUjLCc7tkD7UqVFVSbGUdcgVhG86zNf5UzaSdpxHchcmYY6X9b9yJHaDta7CoKxi448tm4yD4126f5t", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}