{"id": 10382, "prediction_verbatim": "TLT outperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: TLT underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window; equivalently, TLT closes flat-to-down while SPY rises 0.5%+ or QQQ rises 0.7%+]", "created_at": "2026-09-04 02:09:40", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.73, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 TLT +0.2% vs SPY -0.4% \u2014 TLT beat SPY by 0.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-08 02:30:28", "chain_hash": "5b77523c9c9db31bff0ffe8b0c545f927b0251e4819c772ca381a084192487b5", "chain_tx": "3CTZcMiHQRp3yk3ieNhWrFG1eHJSMtPka2juusYepMKMBtYHY71n63e3DECiyJwi44BD5DztgUXJoHH6MqXCByPm", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}