{"id": 10366, "prediction_verbatim": "HOLD / TWO-SIDED: Too narrow and too contradicted by small-cap lag to emit a directional call. If forced to lean: QQQ slightly underperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: down] because TSLA concentration does not broaden into IWM or true Tech rotation, but confidence is 0.48 (coin-flip risk); the safer reading is flat (SPY / QQQ move together within 50bps) [FALSIFY: QQQ materially outperforms SPY by >80bps over 24h, signaling broad tech leadership]", "created_at": "2026-09-03 17:36:51", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 QQQ -0.0% vs SPY -0.4% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.4%)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-04 18:14:04", "chain_hash": "2eb892614740d529221308a5e76a089a0e84e5bfbe8df2b6932701097dc7a317", "chain_tx": "5G815CSHU2m5Zw2Zvd16RMkCfvZfRuqKZb1YgVgkcoHNFkakcbLFuUjybvMuoxWXdKRyRpwmgBhtQtUr74Dgre9", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}