{"id": 10342, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h: XLE closes down or flat relative to SPY, despite oil supply disruption narrative. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY by >0.8 points over 48h, or crude prices spike >3% and XLE rallies >2%]", "created_at": "2026-09-03 04:12:52", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": null, "resolved_at": null, "chain_hash": "c45576f5ceba0f2118bb6e3c6b11893a1d4db201d127098541ab12b41d99a140", "chain_tx": "5AkWnvroWGZFZ1rWNKEAMSn1Ajb9GjH6WSdYncf3cqaDuspnc1pxDcdh5aMeVbjJivHwPLUErLr6sMwXADW3WfZp", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}