{"id": 10317, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY outperforms SMH over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: SMH outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-02 19:46:52", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.23, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SPY +0.6% vs SMH +3.1% \u2014 SPY trailed SMH by 2.4%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-04 20:26:29", "chain_hash": "ebae88970df8802a196d9f18484f78d72b2c58ac1b736e0f85030841b6d4ef16", "chain_tx": "yReZ1yyLHnJiQ4NQnN5ZhYSqWcyC2iPnswqptG3wvZrbkVQeTPg237w9enUkMnyeuvR72oDhkCQyQTcgJQ8jGtw", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}