{"id": 10311, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-02 17:45:57", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.24, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -1.5% vs SPY +0.6% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 2.1%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-04 18:14:03", "chain_hash": "c84b2ca22ce6d9b063905ed75f699b885e7bc688f9bd3c4a0c5f9f0ae331fb9c", "chain_tx": "5M9HKXib1w3u9oZZDStVeN2MwZYnhacxKxbCLoxT3WUgDa66qrTsRAwgd679QkDEyqk9CDJXbacFN2avPuTFHeKa", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}