{"id": 10302, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-02 15:45:14", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.24, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -1.4% vs SPY +0.6% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 2.0%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-04 16:12:32", "chain_hash": "ee43b1f714e49ae68e89e3e8d55cfb957ca13252eb2776b3b066d2cded6fbe27", "chain_tx": "4bSEyG4LqzgiDDuXRYGtN1BP8vLmAWvVjZFWehj4PmvJyJFHNKPVR8v3WFTLXTUM3gmMBEs1VGjSubxgtUzv7pFb", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}