{"id": 10299, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-02 14:44:43", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -1.1% vs SPY +0.5% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 1.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-04 15:12:22", "chain_hash": "6afab6b290f267a63176d49aeb0841714af814eb428d1e45c1b0e6f1fdb27997", "chain_tx": "4yWEaj74YicApqSGsGB9ppBSmJe8qJeV94LHYBJUUxfrcLnrif7iUARkvkUVAZEgWCbSyMvT2UbiMVjD5xihWXwh", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}