{"id": 10290, "prediction_verbatim": "MSTR underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down relative to SPY] [FALSIFY: MSTR outperforms SPY or trades flat-to-up relative to SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-09-02 10:39:41", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.0, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 MSTR +16.0% vs SPY +1.5% \u2014 MSTR beat SPY by 14.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-04 11:11:07", "chain_hash": "796081af04de72f5e5b99542954d2ccdd187668dbf27bac58b8cf59acd8d2393", "chain_tx": "24cJBNtSm6pFmJ6f3FXu4H1mEmY5MyJfo6WsHWEeB5S2vzNzC1aqAC4u5ZT62u47HiuSfcZq5zq976b6E5XTicJ2", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}