{"id": 10250, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED: BULL\u2014ETH up 1\u20133% over 48h on regulatory tailwind. BEAR\u2014ETH flat-to-down 1\u20132% if macro risk-off dominates. LEAN: Flat-to-down. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: ETH outperforms BTC by >1.5pp over 48h, or closes >2% higher]", "created_at": "2026-09-01 20:36:39", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.2, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 ethereum moved +3.4% ($2,419 \u2192 $2,502)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-03 21:09:46", "chain_hash": "5a2e9b8641d1a57bddb14c7b27bf994d51845a15b835e1b811f830689b3bab3d", "chain_tx": "5ESCqr4unjA8KeAMMGyz9vCKT8xnTtBmZfbJExfPmPdo577gNB7jgxGMxqZSMhWSjt27BkMXDXveRSWaUFMkNhXa", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}