{"id": 10249, "prediction_verbatim": "AAPL outperforms QQQ over 48h [DIRECTION: up relative to QQQ] \u2014 two-sided lean. BULL: Defensive shift continues; AAPL +0.5-1.5% while QQQ stays -0.5-0% over 48h. BEAR: AAPL and QQQ converge; gap narrows to <1ppt as macro headwind dominates idiosyncratic strength. [FALSIFY: AAPL and QQQ close with <0.5ppt return differential, negating 3.88ppt divergence persistence]", "created_at": "2026-09-01 20:20:56", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 AAPL +0.9% vs QQQ +1.4% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.5%)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-03 21:09:54", "chain_hash": "3ebbfcd0b481c06420ad51a55d4d06a7aa6d7e51e11f9da0e82514250b81958a", "chain_tx": "4e4Tf3fq5EeTbpKXdeXPxToAwxFhhvQ7n6VnWVbwAMR4RnEktGiDMDPdYAjeNqvQ6cXfAaVHDoU4rK9iZ7Pk5GZT", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}