{"id": 10146, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM gains relative to SPY or outperforms it over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-31 07:30:27", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.74, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 IWM -1.8% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 IWM trailed SPY by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-02 08:39:40", "chain_hash": "74983609e3963c6567d418f5accdd44bb4e4ea6bf39b000683513413df5d1729", "chain_tx": "5dkYqgDfiZWM3P7y4Zk7UaQHPBvwFFy6ekWnKcKZCwPQb5LMugF6KDi64gPFhm22Vi7vBQGSPaLzts5kRPBWLQQB", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}