{"id": 10123, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC closes flat-to-down over 24h. BULL: Larak Island strike triggers geopolitical safe-haven bid; ETH may outperform on lower rate-sensitivity. BEAR: Warsh hawkishness (inflation unresolved, Fed 'work to do') subordinates geopolitical hedges; risk-off regime favors deleveraging over flight-to-USD alternatives. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC closes +0.7% or higher over 24h window, or Fear & Greed reading shows Extreme Fear (8-9/100) concurrent with +0.5% intraday bounce confirmation]", "created_at": "2026-08-30 21:28:22", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 bitcoin +0.6% vs ethereum +0.2% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.4%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-31 21:51:40", "chain_hash": "f52ccba7d6a4d99eaa03ced2f4660115bd41cea65fab87fc4fbc7a1e45466454", "chain_tx": "5hfykxMm5UkhTLD2zxHXJWyuTvWQxHnpEJQkJo4AGJvYacqGtZN1EXwd6L9b98fZHTAzHziWd7s4S6NENjFb33xV", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}