{"id": 10066, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC underperforms its 50d moving average over 24h; ETH remains flat-to-up relative to BTC [DIRECTION: down for BTC relative to ETH/macro baseline] [FALSIFY: BTC closes +0.5% or higher over the 24h window, or no measurable change in on-chain transaction volume friction]", "created_at": "2026-08-29 10:22:19", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 bitcoin +0.4% vs ethereum +0.7% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.3%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-30 10:26:51", "chain_hash": "182b1cc20a7cef171f8e216894c1743e3719f460fac87998c5c60b0fa0333b39", "chain_tx": "4twekMitfbXnyfZk1Vdd7s2wow8Sjp2qhmVhBZttEAAhGC9D616BVG2HyhD1g5AkNrWkyqp8TsioALXRoUy7uk8a", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}