{"id": 10038, "prediction_verbatim": "COIN underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: COIN closes level or higher vs SPY over 48h, or Fed/Powell speaks to delay rate hikes, or crypto settlement volumes (EURC on-chain) spike +20% intraday]", "created_at": "2026-08-28 22:19:59", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 COIN -1.0% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.0%)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-01 22:37:34", "chain_hash": "8c245f6c56d6ff086fc7ee274514a892c1449c48249445af087bdcd5e8835284", "chain_tx": "23NzfJubwuNa61wwqEi5GMizAZ97NG5Xu5tp38dsJHWLqfKt7R43VnZjsqRmKf4aE2A3LCxLmvNr3WAGSRtLeUpy", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}