{"id": 10037, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: IWM closes level or higher vs SPY over 48h, or tariff narrative includes explicit negotiation off-ramp language from Trump administration]", "created_at": "2026-08-28 22:19:57", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.74, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 IWM -1.8% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 IWM trailed SPY by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-01 22:37:34", "chain_hash": "fbcfe215d061509e4ca02cf6b980ecd4bb0d68ba775a8a6458f530b75356027c", "chain_tx": "4UgE77n2byS9fFgaAuHWpqkzbfarnj1pfVsnt7s7VSDs1t4aRB3zLMEeThKyHLKg1sQVeduQhuFPJCajthmzNeP3", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}