{"id": 10003, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED: Growth tech (MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA) will likely trade flat-to-down vs. SPY over 48h despite AI tailwinds, because macro recession/fiscal narrative (observations 741412, 741383) compresses duration faster than incremental AI validation rallies sentiment. Honest lean: SLIGHT UNDERPERFORMANCE [DIRECTION: down] but confidence is 0.50 (coin-flip). [FALSIFY: MSFT, GOOGL, or NVDA close +1% or more relative to SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-08-28 09:16:18", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-09-01 12:16:58", "chain_hash": "8ec753d81db2903ec6abf1394bb5288fd4dfbd2e205a3b5adb4fa8bcbe9f429f", "chain_tx": "5moehPZLANnTw6kcTPbEtK76ZPg1y3W8rppcfZbuB2bLTFccyXA6F9GBdt8aeRM5iZae4QCQ74jqTu4wLxFYc27Z", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}